The "Cash for Clunkers" auto rebate program, brought to you by those brainiacs in Washington is
running out of money. Really? This is a brilliant example of Washington not being able to figure out what your average run-of-the-mill business people saw right away. Let me explain:
We were lucky enough to take advantage of the program on Wednesday. While we were going over all of the paperwork, the person helping me casually said that the program will probably end early. I asked her to tell me why she thought so. She said, (I am paraphrasing here) "If you do the math, the average dealership will only get to sell twelve (12) cars in the program." Only twelve cars? Sure enough, if you do the math (which apparently no one in Washington bothered to do), you come out with about 12-14 cars per dealership.
Here is my back-of-the-napkin math:
$1 billion (amount set aside for the program) divided by $3500* (rebates amount) = 285,714 clunkers that can be bought.285,714 clunkers divided by 23000 (number of dealerships expected to take part in the program) = 12.42 cars per dealership.On Wednesday, my clunker was the 29th deal that dealership had done.
My point is this: If the dealership employees saw this coming, what made the politicians in Washington think this program would last through September?
* I understand that some of the rebates are for $4500, but I want to give the politicians the benefit of the lower number.